NFL Thanksgiving odds, how to watch, streaming: Expert picks, best bets, teasers, survivor picks and more

NFL Thanksgiving odds, how to watch, streaming: Expert picks, best bets, teasers, survivor picks and more

NFL Thanksgiving odds, how to watch, streaming: Expert picks, best bets, teasers, survivor picks and more

How about some football for Thanksgiving dinner? The NFL has a triple-header on deck for the Thursday holiday and has a number of playoff hopefuls and Super Bowl threats. In fact, the winning percentage between these teams is .650 second highest since the league expanded to three games on Thanksgiving. Five of the six teams playing on Thanksgiving also own a league-high winning record.

As we do every week for the entire list, we’ve collected all the best Thanksgiving picks and gambling content from CBSSports.com and SportsLine and put them all in one place so you can get picks against the spread from our CBS Sports experts as well as additional content for each game, including plays from top SportsLine experts and the SportsLine Projection Model, best plays from our staff, survivor picks and more.

All NFL odds via Caesars Sportsbook.

What choices can you make with confidence in week 12? And which Super Bowl contender is going down hard? Visit SportsLine as its incredible model simulates every NFL play 10,000 times and is up almost $7,000 for $100 players on top ranked NFL picks since inception.

Time: Thursday, 12:30 PM ET (CBS), stream on Paramount+ (click here)
Open: Bills -10
Current: Bills -9.5

Featured game | Detroit Lions vs. Buffalo Bills

“This has the makings of a game with a lot of offense. Both teams can score, but the Bills can really score. They will put up a big number here as Josh Allen wins a second straight game in Detroit after beating the Browns last week in the same building. The pitch is fast and the Bills can fly. The Lions won’t keep up.” — Pete Prisco, senior NFL analyst at CBS Sportshas the bills covering the 9.5 point spread and has this game well over 54.5 overall.

“The Lions have been rolling the last few weeks, but I just have a hard time betting against Josh Allen with this line under double figures. Yes, Detroit’s defense has played better in the previous three games, but that was against the Packers, Bears and Giants. Buffalo’s offense is a whole different animal. Allen has historically played well on Thanksgiving as the Bills are 2-0 SU in both games and the QB recorded a 100+ passer rating in each contest. Although I think Buffalo’s offense can get into the 30’s indoors at Ford Field, I don’t see the Lions doing that in this setting. Specifically, I have my doubts because of the protection ahead of Jared Goff. Detroit ranks as the 24th-ranked pass-blocking team in the NFL this season, according to Pro Football Focus. Meanwhile, Buffalo is the third-best pass rush team in the league under the same grading system.” — Tyler Sullivan of CBS Sports on why he takes the Bills -9.5 as one of his best plays for Week 12.

“Allen has actually crossed that line just once in the last four games, but I think he hits the Over here against a bad defense. The star quarterback is averaging a career-high 293 passing yards per game this season.” — CBS Sports NFL betting guru Jordan Dajani on why is josh allen likes to go OVER his 281.5 passing yard stopper at -127.

“On paper, this feels like a game the Lions have zero chance of winning, but if I’ve learned one thing in my life about picking NFL games, it’s that teams always seem to win when you think they have zero chance of winning , especially when they’re coached by a guy whose most famous quote involves biting off the kneecaps.I have no idea what Dan Campbell eats at his house on Thanksgiving Day, but there’s a 50% chance it’s kneecaps .

“The big problem in this game for the Lions is that they have one of the worst defenses in the NFL this year and they’re going to play a Bills offense that has been one of the best. The Lions have given up the most yards per game and most points per game, and that’s definitely not a good combination when the team you’re playing for is second in both points and yards per game.

“If this game had been played four weeks ago, I probably would have picked the Bills by 30, but the Lions are suddenly one of the hottest teams in football. If you combine that with the fact that the Bills have been in a weak situation. offensive heat, that’s the recipe for a game that can go down to the wire. I said we should talk about recipes.” — CBS Sports NFL writer and Pick Six Podcast co-host John Breech on why he picks the Bills to narrowly beat the Lions, 30-27.

Time: Thursday, 4:30pm ET (Fox), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
Open: Cowboys -7
Current: Cowboys -9

Featured game | Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

“This has the makings of a Cowboys rout, almost the same as Dallas’ 40-3 win over Minnesota just a few days ago. New York showed some cracks in its foundation in the loss to Detroit and lost several key contributors, including top cornerback Adoree’ Jackson. That should allow the Cowboys offense to keep humming along, but it’s their defense that can really put the game away. The Giants are allowing the second-highest pressure rate (45%) in the NFL this season, while the Cowboys are putting the most pressure on opposing- quarterbacks in the league. In Week 3, Dallas pressured Daniel Jones 27 times in the win, the third-most of any game this season. With the Giants as fired up as they are and Dallas playing at a championship-caliber level, they’ll win this one by double digits.” — CBS Sports NFL Writer Tyler Sullivan on why he’s taking Dallas to cover against New York as one of the week’s five locks.

The SportsLine Projection Model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, enters Week 12 of the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 155-109 run on top-ranked NFL picks dating back to the 2017 season. Now the model is looking at a six-legged Thanksgiving parlay that will pay almost 50-1. One of those legs is the total of over 45 points in the Cowboys-Giants game. As for the rest, you’ll have to go to SportsLine.

“When these two teams met back in Week 3, the Cowboys won 23-16 and it was with Cooper Rush. In that game, the Cowboys sacked Daniel Jones five times and picked him off once, and I think we’re going to see more of that same on Thursday. The Cowboys have won 10 of the last 11 games in this series, and I don’t see that dominance ending this week.

“This is the first time these two teams have played on Thanksgiving since 1992. Thirty years ago, the Cowboys destroyed the Giants 30-3 and then went on to win the Super Bowl two months later. I’m not saying it’s going to happen. This year, but I’m not saying that.” — John Breech of CBS Sports on why he likes the Cowboys beating the Giants, 31-17.

“The Giants are coming off a horrible showing at home against the Lions, which means they might have been looking forward to this one. The Cowboys straightened things out in their blowout win over the Vikings. The defense dominated and it will dominate here like Well. The Giants are too limited in attack.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco says the Cowboys defense will once again lead them to victory.

Patriots at Vikings

Time: Thursday, 8:20 PM ET (NBC), stream on fuboTV (try for free)
Open: Vikings -3.5
Current: Viking -3

Featured game | Minnesota Vikings vs. New England Patriots

The SportsLine Projection Model has simulated the NFL Thanksgiving Day games 10,000 times and examined dozens of player props from Caesars Sportsbook. We can tell you that the model says Vikings WR Jefferson averages 88.5 receiving yards (-117), with the model projecting him to finish with 99 on average. However, the model also says that another star flies above his total and offers a prop with a plus-money payout. To see what they are, check SportsLine.

“Now, this is the most exciting Thanksgiving game to me. The last time the Patriots played on Thanksgiving, they beat the New York Jets 49-19 in the ‘Butt Fumble’ game. Speaking of beating the Jets, that’s what the Patriots did last week on an 84-yard punt return touchdown with just five seconds left in the fourth quarter. They looked like the better team all afternoon, but it took them an awful long time to prove it. I thought Mac Jones was OK. He completed 23 of 27 passes for 246 yards, which is the highest completion percentage Jones has had this season (85.2%). Wind played a role in this game, but the defense was outstanding. They sacked Zach Wilson four times and allowed just 103 yards with the I-ranked teams competing for wild card spots in the AFC, I actually have the Patriots at No. 2. They could go on a run in the second half — just like they did last year.

“As for the Vikings, yes, the 40-3 loss to the Cowboys is going to take some time to get over. Still, they can take a page out of the Cowboys’ book and force everyone to forget about it with a dominating win on Thanksgiving. Even with Dalvin Cook and Justin Jefferson, I can’t help but be impressed with New England’s defense, a unit that has allowed just 7.7 points per game over the last three contests and is allowing a 19 percent conversion rate on third downs over the of the same span. The Patriots own the second-highest pressure rate in the NFL this season, while the Vikings allow the fifth-highest pressure rate. I’d say of the three Thanksgiving contests, I’m the least confident about this one when it comes to picking sides. I taking the Patriots to surprise here, and I like Over.” — Jordan Dajani of CBS Sports smells upset in Minnesota as the Patriots SU beat the Vikings in the Thanksgiving finals while also overtaking.

RJ White, a Fantasy and Gambling Editor for CBS Sports, consistently grinds out as SportsLine’s No. 1 NFL expert. In addition to owning a 445-378-24 on his ATS picks from 2017-21, he has been particularly sharp when it comes to the Vikings. In his last 84 picks involving Minnesota, White has gone 52-28-4 (+$2,053), so you’ll probably know where he leans Thursday night. To see that pick, head over to SportsLine.

“The Vikings were embarrassed Sunday at home, getting blown out by the Cowboys. They’ll come back and play better here. The New England offense is struggling, but the defense is playing well. Still, I think the Vikings will respond on offense in this one to win it . The Patriots offense is bad.” — CBS Sports Senior NFL Analyst Pete Prisco on why he’s picking the Vikings to beat New England by 10 in the Thanksgiving finale.

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